Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 9:20 AM, 61 voters in 16 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 142,687 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 106,090 - 187,021). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward
ward time_of_day turnout turnout_p025 turnout_p975
01 9:20 AM 2002 c(2.5% = 1366) c(97.5% = 2357)
02 9:20 AM 3323 c(2.5% = 2258) c(97.5% = 3967)
03 9:20 AM 1874 c(2.5% = 1308) c(97.5% = 2674)
04 9:20 AM 1860 c(2.5% = 1235) c(97.5% = 2746)
05 9:20 AM 4514 c(2.5% = 3161) c(97.5% = 5651)
06 9:20 AM 1250 c(2.5% = 901) c(97.5% = 1692)
07 9:20 AM 1035 c(2.5% = 405) c(97.5% = 2260)
08 9:20 AM 4650 c(2.5% = 3183) c(97.5% = 5612)
09 9:20 AM 2418 c(2.5% = 1595) c(97.5% = 2937)
10 9:20 AM 2759 c(2.5% = 1937) c(97.5% = 3877)
11 9:20 AM 1196 c(2.5% = 770) c(97.5% = 1859)
12 9:20 AM 2037 c(2.5% = 1396) c(97.5% = 2920)
13 9:20 AM 1848 c(2.5% = 1237) c(97.5% = 2732)
14 9:20 AM 797 c(2.5% = 590) c(97.5% = 1026)
15 9:20 AM 2416 c(2.5% = 1702) c(97.5% = 2842)
16 9:20 AM 987 c(2.5% = 595) c(97.5% = 1591)
17 9:20 AM 2285 c(2.5% = 1559) c(97.5% = 3314)
18 9:20 AM 1821 c(2.5% = 1342) c(97.5% = 2348)
19 9:20 AM 855 c(2.5% = 363) c(97.5% = 1673)
20 9:20 AM 813 c(2.5% = 508) c(97.5% = 1207)
21 9:20 AM 5208 c(2.5% = 3737) c(97.5% = 7066)
22 9:20 AM 3080 c(2.5% = 2210) c(97.5% = 3600)
23 9:20 AM 1637 c(2.5% = 1047) c(97.5% = 2270)
24 9:20 AM 1322 c(2.5% = 939) c(97.5% = 1696)
25 9:20 AM 1349 c(2.5% = 757) c(97.5% = 2040)
26 9:20 AM 1994 c(2.5% = 1345) c(97.5% = 2733)
27 9:20 AM 1985 c(2.5% = 1209) c(97.5% = 3228)
28 9:20 AM 1057 c(2.5% = 643) c(97.5% = 1725)
29 9:20 AM 1067 c(2.5% = 791) c(97.5% = 1423)
30 9:20 AM 2110 c(2.5% = 1531) c(97.5% = 2439)
31 9:20 AM 1685 c(2.5% = 1149) c(97.5% = 2141)
32 9:20 AM 1681 c(2.5% = 1045) c(97.5% = 2633)
33 9:20 AM 1237 c(2.5% = 534) c(97.5% = 2303)
34 9:20 AM 3879 c(2.5% = 2850) c(97.5% = 5073)
35 9:20 AM 2396 c(2.5% = 1487) c(97.5% = 3332)
36 9:20 AM 3027 c(2.5% = 2272) c(97.5% = 3771)
37 9:20 AM 1092 c(2.5% = 633) c(97.5% = 1785)
38 9:20 AM 1943 c(2.5% = 1482) c(97.5% = 2451)
39 9:20 AM 3990 c(2.5% = 2661) c(97.5% = 5175)
40 9:20 AM 3716 c(2.5% = 2555) c(97.5% = 4977)
41 9:20 AM 1574 c(2.5% = 837) c(97.5% = 2429)
42 9:20 AM 1786 c(2.5% = 959) c(97.5% = 2830)
43 9:20 AM 1394 c(2.5% = 650) c(97.5% = 2495)
44 9:20 AM 1249 c(2.5% = 832) c(97.5% = 1835)
45 9:20 AM 1729 c(2.5% = 1012) c(97.5% = 2562)
46 9:20 AM 2450 c(2.5% = 1846) c(97.5% = 2877)
47 9:20 AM 692 c(2.5% = 459) c(97.5% = 945)
48 9:20 AM 1676 c(2.5% = 1187) c(97.5% = 2173)
49 9:20 AM 2192 c(2.5% = 1448) c(97.5% = 3190)
50 9:20 AM 3346 c(2.5% = 2506) c(97.5% = 4231)
51 9:20 AM 2015 c(2.5% = 1372) c(97.5% = 2940)
52 9:20 AM 2661 c(2.5% = 1991) c(97.5% = 3427)
53 9:20 AM 1703 c(2.5% = 980) c(97.5% = 2441)
54 9:20 AM 1196 c(2.5% = 594) c(97.5% = 1884)
55 9:20 AM 2108 c(2.5% = 1115) c(97.5% = 3254)
56 9:20 AM 3093 c(2.5% = 1748) c(97.5% = 4644)
57 9:20 AM 2620 c(2.5% = 1583) c(97.5% = 3761)
58 9:20 AM 4319 c(2.5% = 2600) c(97.5% = 6347)
59 9:20 AM 2188 c(2.5% = 1565) c(97.5% = 2988)
60 9:20 AM 1768 c(2.5% = 1250) c(97.5% = 2449)
61 9:20 AM 2463 c(2.5% = 1656) c(97.5% = 3405)
62 9:20 AM 1835 c(2.5% = 928) c(97.5% = 2776)
63 9:20 AM 2581 c(2.5% = 1677) c(97.5% = 3625)
64 9:20 AM 1439 c(2.5% = 819) c(97.5% = 2139)
65 9:20 AM 2098 c(2.5% = 1287) c(97.5% = 3037)
66 9:20 AM 4315 c(2.5% = 2782) c(97.5% = 6051)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data
Time of Vote Precinct Voter Number
7:10 AM 5107 2
7:41 AM 0537 24
7:42 AM 0501 14
7:43 AM 0828 33
7:03 AM 2714 2
7:40 AM 1508 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:25 AM 0214 16
7:56 AM 3636 33
7:13 AM 0218 9
8:07 AM 4603 27
8:16 AM 0218 60
8:18 AM 0222 68
8:10 AM 1810 36
8:20 AM 3635 57
8:30 AM 3110 55
8:32 AM 0532 69
8:30 AM 2707 45
8:32 AM 2702 48
8:15 AM 3901 52
8:15 AM 3640 64
8:38 AM 3638 55
8:38 AM 3637 31
8:42 AM 0525 64
8:40 AM 0501 36
7:30 AM 0202 28
8:40 AM 0537 56
8:12 AM 4616 41
8:35 AM 3909 65
8:43 AM 0517 69
8:49 AM 0834 73
8:49 AM 0206 69
8:50 AM 0828 77
8:07 AM 0801 40
7:30 AM 3640 31
7:30 AM 3104 29
8:50 AM 0213 25
8:40 AM 2717 56
8:45 AM 2101 47
8:25 AM 3945 52
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
9:02 AM 1503 92
7:15 AM 0902 12
8:40 AM 2717 56
7:01 AM 0807 13
9:09 AM 4701 73
8:50 AM 0213 25
9:10 AM 1514 81
7:55 AM 1517 30
9:00 AM 3914 40
8:00 AM 5702 60
8:30 AM 2105 91
8:30 AM 2105 91
9:15 AM 2714 51
8:15 AM 2605 56
9:20 AM 3637 100
9:20 AM 3638 79
8:30 AM 0521 92
9:20 AM 0532 112

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions