Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.
First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.
As of 9:20 AM, 61 voters in 16 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 142,687 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 106,090 - 187,021). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.
I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.
For those of you who like tables with numbers.
| ward | time_of_day | turnout | turnout_p025 | turnout_p975 |
| 01 | 9:20 AM | 2002 |
c(2.5% = 1366)
|
c(97.5% = 2357)
|
| 02 | 9:20 AM | 3323 |
c(2.5% = 2258)
|
c(97.5% = 3967)
|
| 03 | 9:20 AM | 1874 |
c(2.5% = 1308)
|
c(97.5% = 2674)
|
| 04 | 9:20 AM | 1860 |
c(2.5% = 1235)
|
c(97.5% = 2746)
|
| 05 | 9:20 AM | 4514 |
c(2.5% = 3161)
|
c(97.5% = 5651)
|
| 06 | 9:20 AM | 1250 |
c(2.5% = 901)
|
c(97.5% = 1692)
|
| 07 | 9:20 AM | 1035 |
c(2.5% = 405)
|
c(97.5% = 2260)
|
| 08 | 9:20 AM | 4650 |
c(2.5% = 3183)
|
c(97.5% = 5612)
|
| 09 | 9:20 AM | 2418 |
c(2.5% = 1595)
|
c(97.5% = 2937)
|
| 10 | 9:20 AM | 2759 |
c(2.5% = 1937)
|
c(97.5% = 3877)
|
| 11 | 9:20 AM | 1196 |
c(2.5% = 770)
|
c(97.5% = 1859)
|
| 12 | 9:20 AM | 2037 |
c(2.5% = 1396)
|
c(97.5% = 2920)
|
| 13 | 9:20 AM | 1848 |
c(2.5% = 1237)
|
c(97.5% = 2732)
|
| 14 | 9:20 AM | 797 |
c(2.5% = 590)
|
c(97.5% = 1026)
|
| 15 | 9:20 AM | 2416 |
c(2.5% = 1702)
|
c(97.5% = 2842)
|
| 16 | 9:20 AM | 987 |
c(2.5% = 595)
|
c(97.5% = 1591)
|
| 17 | 9:20 AM | 2285 |
c(2.5% = 1559)
|
c(97.5% = 3314)
|
| 18 | 9:20 AM | 1821 |
c(2.5% = 1342)
|
c(97.5% = 2348)
|
| 19 | 9:20 AM | 855 |
c(2.5% = 363)
|
c(97.5% = 1673)
|
| 20 | 9:20 AM | 813 |
c(2.5% = 508)
|
c(97.5% = 1207)
|
| 21 | 9:20 AM | 5208 |
c(2.5% = 3737)
|
c(97.5% = 7066)
|
| 22 | 9:20 AM | 3080 |
c(2.5% = 2210)
|
c(97.5% = 3600)
|
| 23 | 9:20 AM | 1637 |
c(2.5% = 1047)
|
c(97.5% = 2270)
|
| 24 | 9:20 AM | 1322 |
c(2.5% = 939)
|
c(97.5% = 1696)
|
| 25 | 9:20 AM | 1349 |
c(2.5% = 757)
|
c(97.5% = 2040)
|
| 26 | 9:20 AM | 1994 |
c(2.5% = 1345)
|
c(97.5% = 2733)
|
| 27 | 9:20 AM | 1985 |
c(2.5% = 1209)
|
c(97.5% = 3228)
|
| 28 | 9:20 AM | 1057 |
c(2.5% = 643)
|
c(97.5% = 1725)
|
| 29 | 9:20 AM | 1067 |
c(2.5% = 791)
|
c(97.5% = 1423)
|
| 30 | 9:20 AM | 2110 |
c(2.5% = 1531)
|
c(97.5% = 2439)
|
| 31 | 9:20 AM | 1685 |
c(2.5% = 1149)
|
c(97.5% = 2141)
|
| 32 | 9:20 AM | 1681 |
c(2.5% = 1045)
|
c(97.5% = 2633)
|
| 33 | 9:20 AM | 1237 |
c(2.5% = 534)
|
c(97.5% = 2303)
|
| 34 | 9:20 AM | 3879 |
c(2.5% = 2850)
|
c(97.5% = 5073)
|
| 35 | 9:20 AM | 2396 |
c(2.5% = 1487)
|
c(97.5% = 3332)
|
| 36 | 9:20 AM | 3027 |
c(2.5% = 2272)
|
c(97.5% = 3771)
|
| 37 | 9:20 AM | 1092 |
c(2.5% = 633)
|
c(97.5% = 1785)
|
| 38 | 9:20 AM | 1943 |
c(2.5% = 1482)
|
c(97.5% = 2451)
|
| 39 | 9:20 AM | 3990 |
c(2.5% = 2661)
|
c(97.5% = 5175)
|
| 40 | 9:20 AM | 3716 |
c(2.5% = 2555)
|
c(97.5% = 4977)
|
| 41 | 9:20 AM | 1574 |
c(2.5% = 837)
|
c(97.5% = 2429)
|
| 42 | 9:20 AM | 1786 |
c(2.5% = 959)
|
c(97.5% = 2830)
|
| 43 | 9:20 AM | 1394 |
c(2.5% = 650)
|
c(97.5% = 2495)
|
| 44 | 9:20 AM | 1249 |
c(2.5% = 832)
|
c(97.5% = 1835)
|
| 45 | 9:20 AM | 1729 |
c(2.5% = 1012)
|
c(97.5% = 2562)
|
| 46 | 9:20 AM | 2450 |
c(2.5% = 1846)
|
c(97.5% = 2877)
|
| 47 | 9:20 AM | 692 |
c(2.5% = 459)
|
c(97.5% = 945)
|
| 48 | 9:20 AM | 1676 |
c(2.5% = 1187)
|
c(97.5% = 2173)
|
| 49 | 9:20 AM | 2192 |
c(2.5% = 1448)
|
c(97.5% = 3190)
|
| 50 | 9:20 AM | 3346 |
c(2.5% = 2506)
|
c(97.5% = 4231)
|
| 51 | 9:20 AM | 2015 |
c(2.5% = 1372)
|
c(97.5% = 2940)
|
| 52 | 9:20 AM | 2661 |
c(2.5% = 1991)
|
c(97.5% = 3427)
|
| 53 | 9:20 AM | 1703 |
c(2.5% = 980)
|
c(97.5% = 2441)
|
| 54 | 9:20 AM | 1196 |
c(2.5% = 594)
|
c(97.5% = 1884)
|
| 55 | 9:20 AM | 2108 |
c(2.5% = 1115)
|
c(97.5% = 3254)
|
| 56 | 9:20 AM | 3093 |
c(2.5% = 1748)
|
c(97.5% = 4644)
|
| 57 | 9:20 AM | 2620 |
c(2.5% = 1583)
|
c(97.5% = 3761)
|
| 58 | 9:20 AM | 4319 |
c(2.5% = 2600)
|
c(97.5% = 6347)
|
| 59 | 9:20 AM | 2188 |
c(2.5% = 1565)
|
c(97.5% = 2988)
|
| 60 | 9:20 AM | 1768 |
c(2.5% = 1250)
|
c(97.5% = 2449)
|
| 61 | 9:20 AM | 2463 |
c(2.5% = 1656)
|
c(97.5% = 3405)
|
| 62 | 9:20 AM | 1835 |
c(2.5% = 928)
|
c(97.5% = 2776)
|
| 63 | 9:20 AM | 2581 |
c(2.5% = 1677)
|
c(97.5% = 3625)
|
| 64 | 9:20 AM | 1439 |
c(2.5% = 819)
|
c(97.5% = 2139)
|
| 65 | 9:20 AM | 2098 |
c(2.5% = 1287)
|
c(97.5% = 3037)
|
| 66 | 9:20 AM | 4315 |
c(2.5% = 2782)
|
c(97.5% = 6051)
|
| Time of Vote | Precinct | Voter Number |
| 7:10 AM | 5107 | 2 |
| 7:41 AM | 0537 | 24 |
| 7:42 AM | 0501 | 14 |
| 7:43 AM | 0828 | 33 |
| 7:03 AM | 2714 | 2 |
| 7:40 AM | 1508 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:25 AM | 0214 | 16 |
| 7:56 AM | 3636 | 33 |
| 7:13 AM | 0218 | 9 |
| 8:07 AM | 4603 | 27 |
| 8:16 AM | 0218 | 60 |
| 8:18 AM | 0222 | 68 |
| 8:10 AM | 1810 | 36 |
| 8:20 AM | 3635 | 57 |
| 8:30 AM | 3110 | 55 |
| 8:32 AM | 0532 | 69 |
| 8:30 AM | 2707 | 45 |
| 8:32 AM | 2702 | 48 |
| 8:15 AM | 3901 | 52 |
| 8:15 AM | 3640 | 64 |
| 8:38 AM | 3638 | 55 |
| 8:38 AM | 3637 | 31 |
| 8:42 AM | 0525 | 64 |
| 8:40 AM | 0501 | 36 |
| 7:30 AM | 0202 | 28 |
| 8:40 AM | 0537 | 56 |
| 8:12 AM | 4616 | 41 |
| 8:35 AM | 3909 | 65 |
| 8:43 AM | 0517 | 69 |
| 8:49 AM | 0834 | 73 |
| 8:49 AM | 0206 | 69 |
| 8:50 AM | 0828 | 77 |
| 8:07 AM | 0801 | 40 |
| 7:30 AM | 3640 | 31 |
| 7:30 AM | 3104 | 29 |
| 8:50 AM | 0213 | 25 |
| 8:40 AM | 2717 | 56 |
| 8:45 AM | 2101 | 47 |
| 8:25 AM | 3945 | 52 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 9:02 AM | 1503 | 92 |
| 7:15 AM | 0902 | 12 |
| 8:40 AM | 2717 | 56 |
| 7:01 AM | 0807 | 13 |
| 9:09 AM | 4701 | 73 |
| 8:50 AM | 0213 | 25 |
| 9:10 AM | 1514 | 81 |
| 7:55 AM | 1517 | 30 |
| 9:00 AM | 3914 | 40 |
| 8:00 AM | 5702 | 60 |
| 8:30 AM | 2105 | 91 |
| 8:30 AM | 2105 | 91 |
| 9:15 AM | 2714 | 51 |
| 8:15 AM | 2605 | 56 |
| 9:20 AM | 3637 | 100 |
| 9:20 AM | 3638 | 79 |
| 8:30 AM | 0521 | 92 |
| 9:20 AM | 0532 | 112 |
Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions